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You are here: Home » News » Jesuit Schemes by Nation » Somalia » The Situation in Somalia May Trigger a New Civil War

The Situation in Somalia May Trigger a New Civil War

July 15, 2021 3:40 AM By New Eastern Outlook Leave a Comment

Originally published by Journal-NEO.org/.


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In the last few months, the situation in Somalia has gradually been getting worse. With the country about to hold elections, increasingly violent confrontations between supporters of the president, Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed, and opposition supporters, mass demonstrations and terrorist attacks by Al-Shabaab (banned in the Russian Federation), there is a risk that another civil war may break out in the country.

Over the last few years Somalia has, in many people’s minds, become associated with economic collapse and lawlessness. Somali pirates have seized ships passing through the country’s territorial waters and demanded ransoms. This activity has been earning the armed bandits (many of whom may not actually be from Somalia) more than a hundred million dollars a year. Aside from Somalia, the peninsula known as the Horn of Africa is also occupied by two largely unrecognized splinter states, Puntland and Somaliland. The central government in reality controls no more than a third of the country, barely maintaining its grip on the capital.

The borders of Puntland and Somaliland are very close to those of the former Italian and British colonies in the region. Thus Somaliland occupies almost exactly the same territory as the former British Somalia, while Puntland claims all the territory of what was once Italian Somalia – a claim opposed by the central government. Not only do these breakaway territories have their own currencies, passports and other state attributes, they are also at war with each other. It is not surprising that this situation is playing into the hands of various terrorist organizations and radical religious groups, and is resulting in almost permanent internal instability.

On July 10, four mortar shells exploded near the official residence of the President, in Mogadishu, the Somali capital. The shells hit hotels and schools in the immediate vicinity of the presidential palace, but, so far, there have been no reports of any casualties.

That was the second terrorist attack on Mogadishu on July 10 alone – earlier that morning, a suicide bomber targeted the city’s police chief, Colonel Farhan Mohamud Qaroleh, who was not injured, although the blast killed six of his bodyguards and wounded 9 other people. So far, nobody has claimed responsibility for that terrorist attack, but the authorities have blamed the terrorist group Al-Shabaab.

On July 6, after a fierce battle with government troops, militants from Al-Shabaab seized the northern town of Baadweyne, near the Ethiopian border. Baadweyne has been under the control of Al-Shabaab since last April, but when the Somali army arrived early on July 6 the militants were forced to leave the town without a fight, yet they retook the city after a battle with the government troops later the same day.

The terrorist group Al-Shabaab was formed in Somalia in 2004. It is estimated to have some 7,000 militants in total. By 2010 the group had occupied a huge amount of territory, but in 2011 it was forced to abandon the capital, Mogadishu, and since then it has fought a guerilla campaign against the national government and its allies. In February 2012, one of Al-Shabaab’s leaders announced that the group had joined the international terrorist organization Al-Qaeda (banned in the Russian Federation).

Somalia’s armed forces are now engaged in a wide-ranging operation in central and southern regions of the country, in order to ensure the stability necessary for the holding of presidential and parliamentary elections. The elections to the upper chamber of the federal parliament are scheduled to take place between July 25 and August 10, and the elections to the lower chamber will last from August 10 to September 10. Then the parliament will elect the president on October 10.

Somalia has a unique election system in which the clan elders elect the members of the lower chamber, and the regional parliaments elect the members of the upper chamber. The parliament then elects the president, who proposes a cabinet of ministers. This system was introduced in 1991, after the end of the republic’s bloody civil war.  The current president, Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed, was elected in this way in 2017. After the accession of the new president, Somalia decided to change the established procedure and cancel the system of direct elections in order to strengthen the role of the central government. But the opposition was highly critical of this initiative, which they saw as an attempt – among other things – to extending Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed’s term of office.

Since the president’s term of office expired at the beginning of February, the country has now been several months without a legitimate government. The opposition no longer recognizes Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed as the head of state. According to Somalia’s provisional constitution, in the event of the president’s death or incapacity, the speaker of the parliament takes over as interim president. However the constitution does not say what should happen if a president’s term expires and there is no political accord. In similar circumstances, the previous president, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, had his mandate extended by a year. According to the leader of the splinter state of Puntland, Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed recently claimed in a private conversation that he had enough support from the national armed forces to stay in power as long as he wanted.

That is the background to the standoff between the government and the regional authorities, who were for a long time unable to reach agreement on the holding of the parliamentary elections. The situation has led to protests, as well as terrorist attacks – and, in the current power vacuum, there is no authority capable of taking action against the perpetrators.

For several years the government of Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed – popularly known as Farmaajo, has been promising to hold the first fully “democratic direct general elections” in the country since 1969, and talks between the government and the regional authorities on the elections began last year. A year ago the president dismissed Hassan Ali Khaire from the post of prime minister because of the lack of progress in the talks, replacing him with Mohamed Hussein Roble.

12 presidential candidates from opposition parties have come together to form an opposition council, which is resisting Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed’s bid for reelection on the ground that he has appointed his own supporters to the electoral commission. They are therefore calling for the creation of a national transition committee, which will be in charge of holding the parliamentary elections. Since the alliance of Somali opposition leaders refused to recognize Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed as the head of state and called for public demonstrations against the government, the country, especially Mogadishu, has been swept by a wave, which quickly escalated, with a number of protesters being killed.

According to opposition politicians (notably the leader of Puntland, Said Abdullahi Dani) the conduct of Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed risks plunging Somalia back into the chaos of the 1990s. They claim that the state security forces – controlled by the president – are being used not to fight terrorism, but to clamp down on his political opponents. The chaos is also being exacerbated by the unilateral refusal of the president (who no longer has any mandate) to consider an initiative by the international community concerning the introduction of a federal system of government in Somalia. The UN, EU and African Union all consider that such a system would allow the country to avoid many of the problems due to a lack of political balance in the country.

The unrest has made its mark on the Somali capital – over the last few months large numbers of troops, as well as military hardware, have appeared in the city, and many main streets have been closed off. But these measures, far from resolving the problem, have merely served to feed the flames of public discontent.  As a result, three decades after the foundation of the Somali state, the country’s political elite is deeply polarized, and the divisions are set to get worse. The country is once again on the brink of a bloody conflict.

Nevertheless, it is to be hoped that Somalia’s central government will succeed in negotiating with the opposition and holding the presidential elections, as otherwise the conflict will only escalate.

Vladimir Danilov, political observer, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook”.

Author: New Eastern Outlook

New Eastern Outlook provides a fact based alternative to mainstream news media sources by inviting independent experts and journalists writing on international politics, economics, law, oriental studies and culture to have their original articles published as permanent NEO contributors. New Eastern Outlook publishes exclusive content only.

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  • mem on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”I read just the title and the first thing that came to mind was The Second Exodus! Let it be!!
  • Christine on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”Amen
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  • Emma on I HAD A DREAM AND THE LORD SPOKE LOUDLY “ONE OF THE NEXT THINGS I AM GOING TO TEACH MY PEOPLE IS ABOUT IS MY TIMING”Thank you Lana for your words. I have been reading back over some of your prophecies with tears in my eyes. God has been doing a work in me the past few months. I have had deliverance, breakthrough an…
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  • Fionnola Morris on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”Actions taken to provoke a civil war is probably a fair summation. However, the Lord also has His plans which aren’t simply reactive. Many of us can clearly see the hand of God in all this, especially…
  • Edg on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”Yes OUR Mighty Lord planned to Stop the curse on America with these abortions and YES our Lord's will and HE is never Late Pray for Peace for America and Peace for Israel
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  • Nora on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”I agree. This reminded me of David Wilkerson's book The Vision (1973). In the vision God gave him, New York City is on fire > he didn't know why, it could be a celestial event, an attack, or civil…
  • Kris L on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”The paths of the two eclipses also crisscross over southern Illinois, an area that used to be call Little Egypt.
  • Derek on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)I don't think its a negative sentiment. Many lost 99% of their monies and it can drop more from here. It's only when you see things as is, you learn and grow, not by blind faith.
  • James - Lincoln on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”Couldn't agree more with this, Mena! May you be blessed for sharing!!
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  • Bill F on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Thanks for sharing that mem. "Not by might , nor by power....nor by excellent TA skills...nor by intellectual prowess...but by My Spirit sayeth the Lord!"
  • mem on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)I was the opposite. Didnt give rdd the time of day, because from the fundamentals it was a no go. No dream or vision needed to pass on a bad altcoin Then i had a dream where a person i havent seen sin…
  • Derek on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Yes, that's why I stay away from all these SHIB and LUNC $1 dreams. There is no way the crypto market would reach quadrillion dollars market cap anytime soon, we may hit those probably during financia…
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  • Edg on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeLMA O the world's STRONGEST currency . . . nice joke it is also been Manipulated to be where it is as of today
  • Just Another Brother on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeBut this is artificial because the west stops them from paying in the bond denominated western currency, instead they pay in ruble. It might be considered a technical default, but it's imposed on them…
  • Just Another Brother on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Thank you Bill for your encouraging post. I too have been around since back when ETN became hot and I bought at 6 pence. I've been in and out multiple times since then, and likewise with RDD. I have m…
  • MattNZ on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeJUST IN: Russia has defaulted on its foreign debt for the first time since 1918. @GeneralMcInerney
  • Phil - Sydney on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Good post . Yes. It’s a long hard road RDD has been a very slow ride down. Too late to sell so I’m in for another 2 years if it takes that long to reach $1 or $2.10. God bless everyone. Instant riches…
  • Two cents worth on Rockefeller Medicine: A Poisonous Illusion?Allopathic medicine is "Rockefeller" Medicine. Here's a humorous video about allopathic medicine, though the reality is very dark... In a time when US citizens are spending far more for "healthcare" t…
  • Bill F on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Thanks for this input Faith and good to hear from you. I too am a veteran and have been around Z3 since the RDD revelation and before. It has been an "interesting" process indeed. And I also lost mone…
  • faith on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)I was around Z3 when the plethora of RDD dreams occurred during the time frame you mentioned. At first, like many others, I bought the coin. Shortly thereafter, the Lord warned me away from it. Prophe…
  • Glenn Clark on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeThanks Derek for those details. Yeah I think the increased fees are almost certain which will turn a large number of users away. Their current fees aren't exactly the lowest of exchanges so I'm guessi…
  • Derek on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeCoinbase made huge profits in 2021, and last quarter earnings were really bad. They laid off 20% staff, rescinded offers. They will layoff 30% more by EOY. Coinbase charges 3% fee, where as pro charge…
  • Glenn Clark on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeI wonder if the sunsetting of Coinbase Pro is any kind of indicator of trouble within Coinbase. Sounds like Coinbase pro becomes "Advanced Trade" within Coinbase. It's supposedly just a migration and…
  • James Bailey on America blindly trusting two Jesuits to lead our nation through the coronavirus pandemic.Thanks for letting me know the video was deleted on YouTube. I had downloaded it so I uploaded it to Brighteon.com, a site that believes in freedom of speech. Here's the link: https://www.brighteon.co…
  • James Bailey on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadI’m expecting SPX to return to 4160 within the next week or two and then drop a little before moving above 4200 soon afterwards. I'm expecting another big wave down starting in late July possibly trig…
  • James Bailey on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeI'm expecting SPX to return to 4160 within the next week or two and then above 4200 by the middle of July. The May 4 top reached 4307 so it might return close to that level before the next wave down b…
  • Derek on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Based on dreams of one of the brother in christ, bitcoin will take 10 years to recover after the crash. It's been 5 years since the recommendation for ETN and REDD was made. Unless you've the stomach…
  • Raven0777 on Prophetic dream reveals food shortageAntichrist, disaster I was at the doors of death back in 2010, I had dreams not of this world after that!! .About 2014, or 2015, I dreamed I was watching breaking news. The reporter had a map of the U…
  • Marcio on I HEARD THE LORD SAY “DAUGHTERS OF GOD, RECEIVE MY FIRE! RUN! RUN! RUN! RUN!”Heaven Land Devotions - Jesus Christ - Master Of Time And Eternity By Joanie Stahl https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWWH6cEFsGw
  • David on America blindly trusting two Jesuits to lead our nation through the coronavirus pandemic.Thank you for this. Is there anyway to get that deleted video?
  • William on Encounter with a soldierUnless you were absolutely sure these soldiers were Japanese, you should not of said that they were. You need to be more guarded in what you share.
  • Fionnola Morris on The Coming Healing of the Land & NationsThank you, Pastor Thomas, there is much too encourage us from the scriptures in your post. However, I am concerned about the fact we cannot have a move of God with so much bloodshed of whatever kind b…
  • Fionnola Morris on Encounter with a soldierThank you again, Caroline for faithfully bringing that warning to the people of God. Who knows, if we are praying and repenting on behalf of our land (2 Chron 14:7), God will certainly heal our land a…
  • Bernie on Encounter with a soldierThe soldiers could be North Korean.
  • Bob on Encounter with a soldierLeaked China Meeting Reveals Plans to Attack USA. https://rupreparing.com/news/2022/5/20/sources-china-preparing-for-d-day-invasion-of-the-continental-united-states-with-forces-to-land-on-the-beaches-…
  • Thomas NoDoubt on I HEARD THE LORD SAY “DAUGHTERS OF GOD, RECEIVE MY FIRE! RUN! RUN! RUN! RUN!”I’ve been waiting on this word from Him for about 44 years now Ever since I heard this prophetic word spoken over my life, “New things, New things, new things! God is going to do a new thing through y…
  • christian on Disturbing facts about the Ukraine war and their President Volodymyr Zelensky that western news sources refuse to reporthttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vl3QUlED-jc I asked God about Russia & Ukraine and He spoke to me CLEAR AS DAY
  • Geo Washington on The Federal Bureau of Tweets: Twitter Is Hiring an Alarming Number of FBI AgentsWhen social media started many years ago I had a premonition that the technology would one day be used by the Antichrist. People mocked me. Later on the prophet John Paul said. "Technology is not your…
  • Maria on The Coming Healing of the Land & NationsI am amazed at this article with such an immense meaning of what the Lord accomplished at calvary for us. I always had this revelation in my heart that He restored mankind to the perfect garden when A…
  • Paul on The Coming Healing of the Land & NationsDear Be. Thomas, Thank you for your article and the depth of the Word. Truly beautiful and encouraging. I am personally inspired and blessed. Truly, a right word for this hour, for all of us, in these…

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