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You are here: Home » News » Jesuit Schemes by Nation » Saudi Arabia » Saudia-UAE Rivalry Upends ‘Gulf Unity’

Saudia-UAE Rivalry Upends ‘Gulf Unity’

July 13, 2021 by New Eastern Outlook Leave a Comment

Originally published by Journal-NEO.org/.


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With Saudi Arabia’s strategic partnership with the UAE largely unravelling in the face of a directly growing competition and rivalry between them — which in turn is an outcome of the UAE’s own bid to position itself as the new leader of the ‘Sunni Muslim world’, and Saudi Arabia’s bid to ensure its survival as the traditional hegemon – ‘Gulf unity’ is facing an unprecedented crisis, an internal upheaval that significantly surpasses the jolts that the three boycott of Qatar by the Gulf countries gave to the Gulf Cooperation Council. Much to the pleasure of Turkey and Iran, both of which not only espouse a different version of Islam but also follow different regional and global geo-political policies, rivalry within the Gulf’s two major countries gives them a hitherto unavailable opening to position themselves as alternatively leading players within the Muslim world. Therefore, with the GCC — which was established 40 years ago after the Iranian revolution to present a common/united ‘Sunni Gulf front’ to the ‘Shia crescent’— no longer as united vis-à-vis its traditional rival as it is divided along competing and diverging national interests of the UAE and Saudia, its ability to project power within the Muslim world is waning.

This growing internal rivalry’s major manifestation recently came in the OPEC where the UAE defeated Saudi Arabia’s bid to extend existing output curbs for another eight months. At the OPEC, the UAE opposes production quotas negotiated between Russia and Saudi Arabia and wants to be able to produce 3.8 million barrels a day rather than 3.2 million as apportioned by the oil cartel.

While both the UAE and Saudi Arabia, until a few years ago, flaunted their plans to create an EU style unity in the GCC, these plans never left the drawing board. On the contrary, with GCC power-houses now aiming to undo each other, integrity increasingly looks like a utopia.

Unlike Saudi Arabia, the UAE has been investing billions in its oil production to boost its production, supply and sales. In this behalf, the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, known as ADNOC, has put together plans to spend US$120 billion over the next five years to increase its production of crude oil. Abu Dhabi has brought in companies like Occidental Petroleum and Italy’s Eni to explore and develop more oil and sell as much as possible at today’s higher prices. In this context, Saudi bid to impose cuts on oil production do not fit Abu Dhabi’s overall plans to modernize its economy, and use its financial power-base to project political and economic power in the service of external geo-political interests.

These growing differences are, however, not limited to the production of oil only. Saudi Arabia-UAE are facing each other off in a broad range of geo-political and geo-economic matters. Quite recently, when Saudi Arabia made an announcement to end contracts with foreign companies whose regional headquarters were not located in the Kingdom, effective January 2024, it not only sent a shockwave across the Middle East – the UAE in particular – but also illustrated a strong Saudi resolve to re-claim the geo-political and geo-economic centrality it has been losing to the UAE. By re-claiming its own historical centrality, the Kingdom aims to defeat the UAE’s plans to become Washington’s new favourite in the Middle East.

As such, while it could be that the Saudi ruling elite facilitated the UAE’s peace accord with Israel, there is equally no denying that the UAE sees its upgraded relations with Israel as the gateway to winning Washington to its side, and even use its ties with both Israel and Washington to suppress Saudi Arabia’s hegemonic ambitions. Saudi Arabia’s MBS, even though he is still not the King, takes for granted Saudi Arabia’s position of ‘big brother’ in the region. The UAE, however, not only rejects this assertion, but also sees itself as a more suitable candidate for the said position. The Joe Biden administration’s decision to complete the sale of F-35 jest to the UAE will only add to Abu Dhabi’s growing regional and international clout.

In other words, even though the UAE has traditionally followed a policy whereby it either toes the Saudi line or convinces the Saudis take an alternative course, the UAE’s growing ties with regional and global powers houses – Tel Aviv and Washington – has allowed it to pursue a third option: resist and reject Riyadh’s policy. This is being followed by an active projection of Emirates as the ‘new’ regional power-house.

The Saudis became particularly apprehensive of Emirati ambitions when emails of Emirati ambassador in Washington were revealed in 2017 in which the ambassador expressed a growing desire of Abu Dhabi to not only project the UAE as the leading regional player, but also acquire the ability to influence Saudi policies as well. The emails unambiguously showed how the Emirati elite was inching towards pulling itself out of the Saudi clout. In one of these email, the ambassador had even told a former US official that “I think in the long term we might be a good influence on KSA (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia), at least with certain people there.”

These emails effectively established that the UAE does not see itself as a ‘junior partner’ of the Kingdom in the region. In many ways, the UAE’s policies and actions largely mirror the attitude that Qatar, too, had adopted, which led the Saudis to impose a diplomatic and economic blockade in 2017.

In the present context, Emirati ambitions have strengthened in the wake of the Joe Biden administration’s seeming resolve to ‘punish’ the Saudis – MBS in particular – for their direct involvements in the murder of Jamal Khashoggi. For the UAE, the growing wedge between the US and Saudi leaders presents a unique opening which they can use to their advantage. The Saudis, as the Emiratis see it, are weak; hence, resistible. A successful resistance of Saudi policies at this stage will set the stage for the UAE’s future course of action as the regional power-house with an extra-regional and anti-Saudia outlook.

Salman Rafi Sheikh, research-analyst of International Relations and Pakistan’s foreign and domestic affairs, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook”.

Author Bio

  • New Eastern Outlook
    New Eastern Outlook

    New Eastern Outlook provides a fact based alternative to mainstream news media sources by inviting independent experts and journalists writing on international politics, economics, law, oriental studies and culture to have their original articles published as permanent NEO contributors. New Eastern Outlook publishes exclusive content only.

    View all posts

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  • Anne Chivers on Ken Peters: “I Have Seen the Tribulation”: “Just read this Post.. Men in Black, Blue Helmets ,black Humvees. I have heard over last few years many mature…” Mar 23, 12:17
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  • Marcus on Terra Classic, Shina Inu, and Bone Shibaswap: Prophetic dreams and visions: “Thank you for the guidance James, I’ll wait for 3700 before going long. God bless you.” Mar 20, 12:00
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  • Anne Chivers on February Losses Part II: “Annie Marie…. in following the News headlines in Aust. I am aware, as are many others also, that there is…” Mar 18, 22:18
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  • Anne Chivers on For Sales Signs: “Thanks Edith for the link you have posted in your reply, will certainly take a look and read.. So much…” Mar 15, 02:56
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  • Silent Warrior on Prophetic messages reveal price movements for ETH and SAITAMA: “You are welcome. God bless.” Mar 13, 08:48
  • Silent Warrior on Dreams reveal price targets on Shina Inu and Terra Classic: “Hi John, Sorry for the late reply. I think 0.000007 is still a safe area/range to sell at possibly short…” Mar 13, 08:47
  • Marty Bingham on “I’m coming back. You haven’t seen anything yet.”: “Read “Jack Darnell dream of Obama from 1980’s” “America had a African American president when Jesus returned,at FIRST,He was well…” Mar 13, 00:04
  • Marty Bingham on Dream 7: The Visitors: “My sister had a dream YEARS ago,about barbed wire fences around a gas station,one had to have a special card…” Mar 12, 23:56
  • Marty Bingham on Dream 7: The Visitors: “💯🕛✝️” Mar 12, 23:54
  • Marty Bingham on Dream 7: The Visitors: “I have had dreams of fleeing into the woods, before evil people came to my house,.. My Mom had a…” Mar 12, 23:52
  • Marcus on Terra Classic, Shina Inu, and Bone Shibaswap: Prophetic dreams and visions: “Thanks James, the markets have been so volatile nowadays it’s impossible to trade. I’ll wait for 4200.” Mar 12, 23:27
  • Marty Bingham on Prophetic Dream Reveals Unrighteous Woman Leading America: “This vicious woman has short blond hair,and hasn’t arrived on the political scene yet…” Mar 12, 22:59
  • Marty Bingham on Prophetic Dream Reveals Unrighteous Woman Leading America: “No problem…I count myself blessed to be living in this time..Thank you James for all you do here 👍🤠” Mar 12, 22:54

Archives:

Donate to Z3 News:

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Remnant: The Righteous Remnant Now Arises by James Bailey

Author Links:

Alan Macleod
Anita Alexander
Angie van Greuning
Brian Shilhavy
Caroline Diadem
Centre for Research on Globalization
Chelsea Hagen
Chris Burns
Christine Beadsworth
Christopher Harris
Christy Johnston
Dana Jarvis
Dana R
Daniel Pontious
Diana Pulliam
Elaine Tavolacci
Elizabeth Marie
Elizabeth Vos
Ethan Huff
Expat Gal
Frederic William Engdahl
Glasgow Prophetic Centre
James Bailey
Jazzy
Jeffrey A. Tucker
Joanie Stahl
Jo Ellen Stevens
John Fenn
John the Dreamer
John Whitehead
Jon Miltimore
Joseph Mercola
Kathi Pelton
Katherine Lehman
Krista
Lana Vawser
Mac Slavo
Maria Conwell
Mena Lee Grebin
Michael Snyder
Michel Chossudovsky
Michele Burdo
Michelle Okeson
Monique Bizet
Morningstar News
Nate Johnston
New Eastern Outlook
Pastor James Durham
Peter Koenig
Prophetic Nurse
Rachel Baxter
Rev Susan O’Marra
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
Robin Kirby Gatto
S. Renee Felder
Silent Warrior
Simon Braker
Thomas Harry
Tim Price
Wanda Alger
Whitney Webb