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You are here: Home » News » Jesuit Schemes by Nation » Kazakhstan » Events in Kazakhstan are unfolding at breakneck speed

Events in Kazakhstan are unfolding at breakneck speed

January 5, 2022 7:00 PM By Internationalist 360 1 Comment

Originally published by Internationalist 360.


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By Dmitry Plotnikov

Central Asian security, access to space, and ethnic Russians among reasons why Moscow can’t ignore unrest in the former Soviet nation

What’s behind the current violent unrest in Kazakhstan and why is political stability in this huge former Soviet republic of such great importance to Russia?

Events in Kazakhstan are unfolding at breakneck speed, with the situation changing on an hourly basis. Initially, it seemed that protests against soaring energy prices would not turn into anything more serious. Since then, however, the country has asked for help from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), a Russia-led military bloc, and its soldiers have engaged in fierce street battles with armed marauders.

Kazakhstan has always been viewed as one of the most stable post-Soviet countries, with the transition of power from its first president to his successor, managed by the local elites, initially seen as smooth and efficient. However, today the country is perhaps facing its toughest challenge since it became independent 30 years ago. RT has analyzed the reasons behind the unrest in Kazakhstan.

Footage of protests in Kazakhstan has spread all over the world. Demonstrators are forcing their way into public buildings, driving away military vehicles, and disarming soldiers. They have set on fire the mayor’s office in Almaty, the country’s largest city and second capital, which has now turned into the epicenter of the protest movement.

The unrest, however, appears to be mostly spontaneous and uncontrolled. It seems there are no leaders to organize the crowds, nor has any political party spearheaded the protest movement yet. The government simply does not know who to negotiate with, while the demonstrators are gaining control of many of Kazakhstan’s public buildings, as well as storming and destroying the offices of the Nur Otan ruling political party and national television channels.

The protests started on January 2 in western Kazakhstan when the price of fuel went up. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is used by most local citizens as car fuel instead of gasoline. The government refused to continue subsidizing its price and made it clear that, from then on, the cost of LNG will be controlled solely by the market. And it doubled immediately – from 60 to 120 tenge per liter (from $0.14 to $0.28). The government believes that this step will “allow for the obtaining a balanced gas price based on demand and supply” as well as “attracting investment” for new production capacities. The authorities claim that the old model resulted in gas producers being constantly at a loss – the business was unprofitable for them.

Protests flared up in the town of Zhanaozen and quickly spread to the west and north of the country. Demonstrators blocked traffic in the central parts of Kazakhstan and demanded that LNG prices be brought down to previous levels. Many also wanted to face those public officials, residing in Nur-Sultan, who were responsible for the gas price surge. In the beginning, the protests were mostly peaceful, there were no clashes with the police. However, the situation changed and 69 people were detained by law enforcement on January 2 and 3.

The protests went on and Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev instructed his government to address the matter of soaring gas prices. Soon the state press service revealed that an investigation had been launched against owners of Kazakhstani gas stations, aimed at identifying price-fixing cartels, and the government promised to “introduce a set of measures in order to regulate the price of gas.” They also said that some of the local owners had decided to reduce the gas price from 120 to 85-90 tenge (about $0.21) per liter, as required by a social responsibility edict for businesses.

But this was not enough to calm the protesting crowds, who resorted to even more radical actions. On the evening of January 4, violent clashes with law enforcement officers started in many Kazakh towns, which lasted throughout the night. Policemen used batons, tear gas and rubber bullets against protesters, who responded by setting official cars and specialized vehicles ablaze.

In an attempt to soothe the demonstrators, President Tokayev agreed to comply with one of their demands and dismissed the government. Later, there were rumors that early parliamentary elections would be held. However, this second concession again failed to appease the street movement. This may be explained by the make-up of the new government, which did not significantly differ from the previous one. Alihan Smaiylov was appointed head of the new government. In the previous cabinet, he held the post of first deputy prime minister.

It was as if all the concessions only angered the crowds even more. On January 5, they went on to attack and set fire to administrative buildings. At the same time, the police were often reluctant in trying to disperse the demonstrators. Some of them were even seen changing sides.

These protests are drastically different from any previous demonstrations Kazakhstan has seen. The mass movement of 2019, which marked the power transition from longtime leader Nursultan Nazarbayev to Tokayev, were dispersed very quickly and in a violent manner – unlike what we see happening in the country today. A casual onlooker can get the impression that the situation in Kazakhstan grew so tense and exploded in a matter of days, and the government is partly paralyzed.

The head of Moscow’s Eurasian Analytical Club, Nikita Mendkovich, believes the reasons behind these mass protests include not only the country’s difficult economic situation, but also the government’s attempts at flirting with nationalists.

“Over the past year or two, we have seen government attempts at flirting with nationalists and pro-Western groups by introducing anti-Russian measures. By this, the ruling elite antagonized Kazakhstan’s Russian-speaking population, which supports Russia and constitutes the majority in Kazakhstan. As a result, the ruling party lost over one million votes at the parliamentary elections in January 2021. But the nationalist opposition interpreted this as a sign of the ruling regime’s weakness and strived to finish it off,” the analyst said.

As he pointed out, at the moment, the Democratic Choice of Kazakhstan (DVK) and Oyan, Qazaqstan (OQ), which are pro-Western opposition groups, are actively trying to head the protests and use them to promote their own agenda. According to Mendkovich, this is exactly why the government’s willingness to comply with the protesters’ economic demands failed to put an end to the unrest, but, on the contrary, seems to have further radicalized the demonstrators and motivated them to put forward purely political demands.

Roman Yuneman, a Russian political figure who spent the first 18 years of his life in Kazakhstan, agrees with Mendkovich that local nationalists are the basis of the protest movement. “It’s not the liberals, or hipsters, who are protesting – it’s the nationalists and patriots. That’s why you can see so many of them holding the national flag, and some are even singing Kazakhstan’s anthem,” he said. Yuneman points out that today’s protests have the largest scale in the history of independent Kazakhstan.

He believes that other factors at play here are the prolonged economic crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic that only aggravated the situation. “When I was leaving Kazakhstan for Russia, life there was no different from any Russian region, except perhaps Moscow, but now the quality of life there is much lower,” Yuneman recalls. The government recently introduced a new package of anti-pandemic measures, and that might have given a lot of people a reason to take to the streets.

Yuneman also commented on the opinion expressed by a number of experts, who have said it may be the case that President Tokayev is not too keen on crushing the protests, in order to use them to get rid of his political “godfather” Nazarbayev, who still wields enormous influence in the country’s politics. Yuneman believes that no one in Kazakhstan, including the protesters, perceives Tokayev and Nazarbayev as real opponents and that even if Tokayev were to make any official moves against the former president, that wouldn’t clear him of anything or pacify the protesting crowds.

Yuneman is convinced that the demonstrations were prompted by frustration with prolonged economic and social crises and are not the result of a power play within the country’s top circles. He believes that even Tokayev’s decision to take over Nazarbayev’s seat on the country’s Security Council could have been in fact sanctioned by Nazarbayev himself, since it absolves him of any blame or responsibility for the government cracking down on protesters.

Yuneman suggests that Tokayev’s talk about future political reforms is what’s important here, and that a lot will depend on whether, and how, he will follow through on his statements.

“If Tokayev goes on to challenge Nazarbayev’s Leader of the Nation title as part of these reforms then it will be clear we’re looking at a coup d’etat here, and that these protests are being exploited to make a political play even if they weren’t orchestrated from the very start.”

Russia has already made a public statement saying it considers the current developments to be Kazakhstan’s domestic business and strongly believes the country’s government is capable of controlling the situation, but, in case the protests continue, Moscow will surely pay more attention to its neighbor in the south.

The border between Russia and Kazakhstan stretches for almost 7,000km, which makes it the world’s longest continuous international land frontier and a key factor in Moscow’s security strategy. Political stability in Kazakhstan is of utmost importance to Russia, since instability there makes it open to all sorts of threats from the south due to the fact that the border is not only vast but stretches mostly through sparsely populated grassland plains and therefore is extremely hard to control.

Another important factor at play is Baikonur, which is rented by Russia and is home to the famed Cosmodrome. Russia’s other space facility, Vostochny, was built recently and has been used to launch only unmanned missions so far. Until it is ready to replace Baikonur’s capacities fully, Russia will need both Baikonur and the political stability in Kazakhstan that is essential to operating the site.

Sary Shagan, a testing range important to Russia’s security, is also located in Kazakhstan. It is the first and only site in Eurasia for testing anti-ballistic missile (ABM) systems. Since the collapse of the USSR, some facilities at Sary Shagan have been leased to Russia, while others were transferred to the Kazakhstan National Center for Radioelectronics and Communications. The ability to use this testing site plays a key role in Russia’s defense capability.

Kazakhstan also has a large Russian community: 3.5 million ethnic Russians account for 18.4% of the country’s total population. Among them are the descendants of the Cossacks, who are known to have lived in the territory of present-day Kazakhstan since at least the 16th and 17th centuries. Imperial Russia used to exile many political opponents of the regime to Kazakhstan, while the USSR later used to assign some of its best experts in industry and agriculture to help develop the region. The safety of the Russian community in Kazakhstan, with its rich history, is of great concern to Russia.

Mendkovich told RT that Russia is already part of the narrative around the current events in Kazakhstan.

“As relations between the countries have been gradually deteriorating in 2020 and 2021, the government has been losing popular support. The nationalist movements are on the rise and many believe that the authorities will have a hard time securing Moscow’s support and, therefore, are getting bold and eager to fight and win,” he said.

The analyst believes the level of tensions is high in Kazakhstan due to the fact that the government has been too lenient towards the nationalists and did little to keep them under control, and this may be fueling the protests.

Yuneman, on the other hand, points out that “although the situation concerns the entire nation, there are no Russians on the streets among the protesters, who communicate in Kazakh, not Russian.” At the same time, Yuneman believes that the protests are unlikely to become anti-Russian, since there is more friction with China in Kazakhstan today than with Moscow. However, though unlikely, such a scenario is not entirely impossible.

The protests in Kazakhstan are of importance to Russia both in terms of its domestic and foreign policies. Russian media and politicians have been talking about the growing popularity of nationalist movements in Kazakhstan throughout 2021. Moscow is sure to be watching the developments there closely, as the situation in Kazakhstan is key to both Russia’s internal and international security, and to preserving the status quo in the post-Soviet space.


Dmitry Plotnikov is  a political journalist exploring the history and current events of ex-Soviet states.

Originally published by Internationalist 360.

Author: Internationalist 360

Internationalist 360 provides a forum for authors to publish posts regarding current events in nations around the world, especially in South American, Middle Eastern and African nations.

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Lora
Lora
5 months ago

Hi EVERYBODY!! It’s all reminding of the Z.Bzhezinsky’s books,……GRABBING Russia
BY THE SOFT UNDER-BELLY – THING,…& the ISIL – is close by.-..ALL AGAINST Russia.

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  • Michelle Okeson on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”Just yesterday I taped a brief radio program regarding this same thought. The title for the message was Civil War II. I noted in it that when the Gettysburg battle was being fought from July 1-3, 1863…
  • Marcio on Prophetic dream reveals BTC flash crash and recovery to $108,000Major indicators are shown to gauge whether or not BTC is near market bottom: Warning: Everyone is WRONG About When Bitcoin Bottom - This Will Happen Instead By Crypto Crew University https://www.yout…
  • christian on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”Dr. zelenko pass away few days ago. DEC 14, 2021, Famous Covid Doctor Reveals What's Really Going on “WAR FOR THE WORLD” THIS IS A HILL WORTH DYING ON Vladimir (Zev) Zelenko is known for promoting a t…
  • Geo Washington on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”"Yes, your nomadic days will finally be over." I tell you unless you can hear His voice and obey Him your nomadic days have only just begun. Are we truly His sheep? My sheep hear my voice the Lord sai…
  • Lise on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”Sounds like Heaven to me.
  • Ant 🐜 on Prophetic dream reveals BTC flash crash and recovery to $108,000Hi Matteh, You are correct Binance won't allow low BTC buy orders. You will need to set up accounts on other crypto exchanges. Try KuCoin, Kraken, or Bitstamp. Also have a look at CoinMarkertCap.com w…
  • Fionnola Morris on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”I hope it proves to be the case for Australia where people have had an even rougher experience that the average in these days. I pray that you will experience the Holy Spirit harvest and some let up f…
  • Derek on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)I don't think you understand how burning works, if there are 500 trillion tokens in supply, then those 500 trillion are owned by someone retail/ whales. They cannot simply burn them in the air. The fa…
  • deborah on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeThey started backing it with gold, which has real value. Our US currency is only supported by trade agreements that force other countries to buy oil in American dollars. This forces other countries to…
  • Colton on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Just keep in mind you are making some assumptions about circulating suppies, burn mechanics, migrations, the value of the dollar, total market cap of cryptos, inability for current coins to restructur…
  • Geo Washington on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”Mena will be proven right. While I believe there will be goat states and sheep states, that alone is not the true purpose or their intended result. Division is. Any kingdom divided against itself shal…
  • mem on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”I read just the title and the first thing that came to mind was The Second Exodus! Let it be!!
  • Christine on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”Amen
  • Christine on I HEARD THE LORD SAY “DAUGHTERS OF GOD, RECEIVE MY FIRE! RUN! RUN! RUN! RUN!”Amen
  • Joseph on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”Amen. So be it Lord.
  • Desiree on “In the next six months you’re going to wake up settled in the land that I promised to give you long ago.”Amen … I receive it in JESUS mighty name 🙏🙏🙏🙏❤️
  • Waully on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”VERY close. Check out this map of the fault line: https://www.wthr.com/article/news/indiana-is-near-two-of-the-largest-fault-lines-in-the-central-us/531-5e00440f-60f3-437e-8b77-36902652d31e Then check…
  • Emma on I HAD A DREAM AND THE LORD SPOKE LOUDLY “ONE OF THE NEXT THINGS I AM GOING TO TEACH MY PEOPLE IS ABOUT IS MY TIMING”Thank you Lana for your words. I have been reading back over some of your prophecies with tears in my eyes. God has been doing a work in me the past few months. I have had deliverance, breakthrough an…
  • Jason on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”Do you know if the spot is over the Mississippi River or New Madrid faultline? Do you know? I have a theory I haven't fully vetted out yet...
  • Fionnola Morris on Do not despise the storm. Harness it, and ride it to the end to receive the Champion’s reward!Thank you, Pastor Wanda. I really believe the lord is coming back for a resplendent warrior-bride not a bedraggled, cowering bride and that Holy Spirit will propel us through these storms until we rid…
  • Fionnola Morris on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”Actions taken to provoke a civil war is probably a fair summation. However, the Lord also has His plans which aren’t simply reactive. Many of us can clearly see the hand of God in all this, especially…
  • Edg on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”Yes OUR Mighty Lord planned to Stop the curse on America with these abortions and YES our Lord's will and HE is never Late Pray for Peace for America and Peace for Israel
  • Matteh on Prophetic dream reveals BTC flash crash and recovery to $108,000Hi friends, I've been struggling to set-up very low (eg. $4) spot-limit order on Binance? The exchange basically wld allow a minimum of about $3300 order it says. Some other exchanges also indicate yo…
  • Nora on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”I agree. This reminded me of David Wilkerson's book The Vision (1973). In the vision God gave him, New York City is on fire > he didn't know why, it could be a celestial event, an attack, or civil…
  • Kris L on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”The paths of the two eclipses also crisscross over southern Illinois, an area that used to be call Little Egypt.
  • Derek on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)I don't think its a negative sentiment. Many lost 99% of their monies and it can drop more from here. It's only when you see things as is, you learn and grow, not by blind faith.
  • James - Lincoln on “They’re preparing us for civil war.”Couldn't agree more with this, Mena! May you be blessed for sharing!!
  • Ant 🐜 on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Wow, given this negative sentiment regarding RDD and ETN from once committed diehards who once believed, I would suggest that this week is now the absolute bottom and both cryptos are on their way up…
  • Bill F on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Thanks for sharing that mem. "Not by might , nor by power....nor by excellent TA skills...nor by intellectual prowess...but by My Spirit sayeth the Lord!"
  • mem on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)I was the opposite. Didnt give rdd the time of day, because from the fundamentals it was a no go. No dream or vision needed to pass on a bad altcoin Then i had a dream where a person i havent seen sin…
  • Derek on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Yes, that's why I stay away from all these SHIB and LUNC $1 dreams. There is no way the crypto market would reach quadrillion dollars market cap anytime soon, we may hit those probably during financia…
  • faith on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Hi Bill, thanks for your reply. One thing I can share with you and others is from the RDD dreams I read most people do not see a warning when they get it. Bathroom/toilet dreams, anything medical (drs…
  • Edg on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangewell coinbase STOCK has LOST around 75 % of its value since a year ago and they will manipulate the SMALL coins, meme , to be able to keep afloat , or they will o anything to keep them from getting Hi…
  • Edg on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeLMA O the world's STRONGEST currency . . . nice joke it is also been Manipulated to be where it is as of today
  • Just Another Brother on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeBut this is artificial because the west stops them from paying in the bond denominated western currency, instead they pay in ruble. It might be considered a technical default, but it's imposed on them…
  • Just Another Brother on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Thank you Bill for your encouraging post. I too have been around since back when ETN became hot and I bought at 6 pence. I've been in and out multiple times since then, and likewise with RDD. I have m…
  • MattNZ on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeJUST IN: Russia has defaulted on its foreign debt for the first time since 1918. @GeneralMcInerney
  • Phil - Sydney on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Good post . Yes. It’s a long hard road RDD has been a very slow ride down. Too late to sell so I’m in for another 2 years if it takes that long to reach $1 or $2.10. God bless everyone. Instant riches…
  • Two cents worth on Rockefeller Medicine: A Poisonous Illusion?Allopathic medicine is "Rockefeller" Medicine. Here's a humorous video about allopathic medicine, though the reality is very dark... In a time when US citizens are spending far more for "healthcare" t…
  • Bill F on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Thanks for this input Faith and good to hear from you. I too am a veteran and have been around Z3 since the RDD revelation and before. It has been an "interesting" process indeed. And I also lost mone…
  • faith on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)I was around Z3 when the plethora of RDD dreams occurred during the time frame you mentioned. At first, like many others, I bought the coin. Shortly thereafter, the Lord warned me away from it. Prophe…
  • Glenn Clark on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeThanks Derek for those details. Yeah I think the increased fees are almost certain which will turn a large number of users away. Their current fees aren't exactly the lowest of exchanges so I'm guessi…
  • Derek on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeCoinbase made huge profits in 2021, and last quarter earnings were really bad. They laid off 20% staff, rescinded offers. They will layoff 30% more by EOY. Coinbase charges 3% fee, where as pro charge…
  • Glenn Clark on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeI wonder if the sunsetting of Coinbase Pro is any kind of indicator of trouble within Coinbase. Sounds like Coinbase pro becomes "Advanced Trade" within Coinbase. It's supposedly just a migration and…
  • James Bailey on America blindly trusting two Jesuits to lead our nation through the coronavirus pandemic.Thanks for letting me know the video was deleted on YouTube. I had downloaded it so I uploaded it to Brighteon.com, a site that believes in freedom of speech. Here's the link: https://www.brighteon.co…
  • James Bailey on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadI’m expecting SPX to return to 4160 within the next week or two and then drop a little before moving above 4200 soon afterwards. I'm expecting another big wave down starting in late July possibly trig…
  • James Bailey on Prophetic dream warns of trouble ahead at Coinbase crypto exchangeI'm expecting SPX to return to 4160 within the next week or two and then above 4200 by the middle of July. The May 4 top reached 4307 so it might return close to that level before the next wave down b…
  • Derek on Recent prophetic dreams show prices for Electroneum (ETN)Based on dreams of one of the brother in christ, bitcoin will take 10 years to recover after the crash. It's been 5 years since the recommendation for ETN and REDD was made. Unless you've the stomach…
  • Raven0777 on Prophetic dream reveals food shortageAntichrist, disaster I was at the doors of death back in 2010, I had dreams not of this world after that!! .About 2014, or 2015, I dreamed I was watching breaking news. The reporter had a map of the U…
  • Marcio on I HEARD THE LORD SAY “DAUGHTERS OF GOD, RECEIVE MY FIRE! RUN! RUN! RUN! RUN!”Heaven Land Devotions - Jesus Christ - Master Of Time And Eternity By Joanie Stahl https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWWH6cEFsGw

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