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You are here: Home » News » Financial News » Death Cross Reveals Market Downturn Coming Soon

Death Cross Reveals Market Downturn Coming Soon

April 12, 2016 4:04 PM By James Bailey 766 Comments

A reliable technical indicator, called the death cross, reveals a market downturn is coming soon. The death cross occurs when the 10-month moving average crosses below the 20-month moving average. In the past twenty years, this has only happened twice, in 2001 and 2008. Both times the stock market crashed soon afterwards.

The chart below shows 20 years of stock market price movements with the red line showing the 10-month moving average and the green line showing the 20-month. In late February 2016, the death cross appeared when the red line dropped below the green line. The chart was provided by businessman and market investor Aaron Brickman. Aaron has studied historical patterns in major market crashes and used his findings to successfully trade the market crashes in 2001 and 2008.

Each bar on the graph represents one month of data. Click on the image to see a larger version.

1_9_real_golden_death_cross_chart_600

The appearance of the death cross shows the end of a long-term bull market and the beginning of a new long-term bear market. In the short term, it indicates we could see serious selling in the stock market.

The image below provides a close up look at the recent death cross:

After the appearance of the death cross, markets have historically followed a pattern of bouncing back up to the 20-month average, which is referred to by technical analysts as an underside retest or a kiss-back. Although it is an upward movement, it is consistent with bearish patterns. When the 10-month average fails to move back up above the 20-month average, the test is failed and the bear market accelerates.

In 2001, the underside retest occurred from December 21 2000 (Point A) until January 31 2001 (Point B). Over the next 37 trading days, the market dropped from Point B to Point C, which was a -22% drop.

In 2008, the same pattern was followed. The underside retest occurred from May 19 (Point A) until July 15 (Point B). Over the next 40 trading days, the market dropped from Point B to Point C, which was a -17% drop.

Implications for 2016:
The same pattern has repeated in 2016. As shown in the graph, the market dropped down to Point A, which is also the support level, indicated by the blue line (S&P 1,800 and Dow 15,480). It then bounced back up to Point B, reaching a top on Friday April 1 2016, 2,075.07 in the S&P and 17,811.48 in the Dow (intraday). The move up to Point B also formed the final leg of the triple-top reversal (W-pattern), which is another bearish pattern.

If this pattern continues, we can expect to see a drop of 17% to 22% over the next 37 to 40 trading days, which would translate into the S&P dropping to about 1,618.55 to 1,722.31 and the Dow Jones dropping to about 13,892.95 to 14,783.53. The target dates for reaching the bottom would be May 24-27. These projections are based only on the historical patterns without consideration of any other factors.

If we continue following the historical pattern, the market will soon begin testing the support level (blue line) and will eventually break through it. The new bottom will become the next Point C. Regardless of how far down it goes, there will likely be a one or two month pause, as shown in 2001 and 2008 when the market rallied back from Point C to Point D. The rally makes a final underside retest of the 10-month moving average. If that fails, the bear market then accelerates even faster.

These historical patterns are consistent with prophetic warnings about a market downturn beginning during Passover. There are also reasons to believe the 2016 drop could exceed 2001 and 2008 due to increased sovereign debt levels and increased exposure to derivatives in our financial system.

James Bailey

Author: James Bailey

James Bailey is a blogger, business owner, husband and father of two grown children. In 1982, he surrendered his life to the Lord Jesus Christ. In 2012, he founded Z3news.com to broadcast the message of salvation by reporting end time news before it happens.

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The RandymanRandall S. LundeenJane NZLPTomP Recent comment authors
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Jane NZ
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Jane NZ

Well worth looking at the themes in these comments here when the death cross last came up.
James – April 16 recounted a short vision ‘I heard the opening bell for the markets already deep into the red before the opening. It was way to late to get in for anyone who was not already in a short position….(just happened to read his at 12.30, the time he posted it…try explaining coincidences to a Jew..

Also several comments on Japenese earthquake…

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May 19, 2016 7:42 PM
LP
Member
LP

They were talking about Death Cross. Below please see the link. Thanks.

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article55219.html

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May 19, 2016 6:14 PM
TomP
Member
TomP

Good Morning Peachy-
I was very surprised to see FAZ drop below $38 at the opening as I thought $38 would be the lowest it ever gets again. However…my hope is that you got in first thing!

Blessings to ALL Z3’er family today! Keep the faith….God is good all the time!

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April 20, 2016 8:37 AM
Randall S. Lundeen
Member
Randall S. Lundeen

March 1, 2017 FAZ 17.16! $38 Lowest it ever gets again?

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May 15, 2017 1:24 AM
The Randyman
Member
The Randyman

October 24, 2017 FAZ $13.36 and fallling

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October 24, 2017 5:32 PM
The Randyman
Member
The Randyman

November 29,2017 FAZ $12.46 and falling

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November 30, 2017 1:00 AM
The Randyman
Member
The Randyman

December 12, 2017 FAZ $11.59 and falling

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December 12, 2017 11:46 PM
John K
Member
John K

38.83, was to be a drop number of FAZ. But I understand it has dropped below to 37 today, and certainly it did bypass the 38.83

But as it has been reckoned, the symmetry to the number could indicate other implications. I’m not much into numerology, and meanings of numbers, but I have been endowed with a word of knowledge in regard to the date 11th May 2016.

38.83 in this light looks like an inference to that appointment. 3+8, 8-3 is 11, 5 or rather 11th May and the double 8 sums up to 16.

Just messing around with figures….

But not on the appointed date of 11th May 2016. I’m persuaded the day will manifest the appointed time.

Another interesting number I came across on the 19th April, was the earthquakes in Japan. At 00.47UTC there was a 4.8 magnitude earthquake at the about the Kumamoto area. Incidentally, in the African tongues of my ancestors, Kuma means to emerge, and moto is for fire. The location name infers emergence of fire. The numbers 47, 4.8 are indicative of the mystical number 47, where 48 is usually tallied to 47. Its a number of earth defense -Divine judgement that I’ve come across over the past couple of years. The sign of the number manifests in cases where natural earth law has been violated, and death follows in retaliation. (Sorceress also subvert the number to their selfish ends. In the case of the Japanese earthquake today, its indicative of the nature divine judgement is shaping to rectify violations against the planet.

Japan is industry leader in fire technology a automotive industry, which to a large extent has distabilised the elements and renders the planet at great risk of self destructing.

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April 20, 2016 1:47 AM
Ed H
Member
Ed H

Z3 family it just came to me to add the Faz numbers that Francy saw at 38.83 . I have wondered why that number the same forward and backwards. 3+8=11. 8+3=11. I looked up 11 in biblical numerology it represents disorder ,chaos and judgement. James has been talking about a decline in the markets and then another after that. Could this be the double drop in numerical code?

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April 18, 2016 3:12 PM
Christian Block
Member
Christian Block

There is the concept of a chiasm in Scripture that seems to fit. If the message AB is emphasized, it is written as ABBA. ABC would be ABCCBA. The Shemitah last year was a possible example. It was 5775.

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April 19, 2016 8:08 PM
Lee.WL
Member
Lee.WL

I’ve been reading z3news for roughly more than a month and have been just a silent reader but i just got to share this. I’ve got 3 things to share in which 2 things are from 2 different dreams and the last one is from a real life situation which pieces the puzzle after reading James’s article on God Reveals Timing of Market Top! Firstly, it was a dream which i had at the end of last year, i’am someone that doesn’t take notice of dreams but this particular one stands out. In my dream, i saw a graph(which should be the Dow) with a steep drop down and it was so so so so vivid that i just literally woke up from my sleep! Second dream, I usually don’t remember or take note of my dreams but somehow i just remembered this particular one but only a segment which is a red double Decker bus with the number 179 and in the dream the bus is coming my way as i’am standing and waiting and that’s all i can remember lols! This particular dream IS ALWAYS been at the back of my mind and i’ve been questioning why would i dream of that till God led me into reading James’s article which pieces together! Interpretation is that it was the dow at 179xx! Lastly it was a real life situation in which i was at Taiwan for a 2 weeks holiday and i was at a particular mountain located at the center west of Taiwan. I was there with a tour group and stopping by at an outdoor open air restaurant. While on the way to the toilet, i found a white Styrofoam box with a sticker with letters FZA 38 !!!! WHICH CORRESPONDS WITH YOUR ARTICLE ABOUT FAZ… Read more »

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April 18, 2016 9:42 AM
James Bailey
Author
James Bailey

Thanks for sharing these things Lee. The more little pieces of the puzzle we get the clearer the picture becomes.

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April 18, 2016 6:23 PM
Ed H
Member
Ed H

Thanks Joe k. I listened to him as well on trunews. Very interesting point he has on the market report video is that the nyse might have about 10 or so more days to go but during this period when it drops he quotes “this could be an opportunity of a life time”

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April 18, 2016 7:59 AM
Joe K
Member
Joe K

Thanks Ed – I definitely caught that comment as well and was very excited to hear it – there are definitely a number of folks with expertise forecasting a downturn that is now days away.

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April 18, 2016 11:48 AM
Jemba
Member
Jemba

James I hope the red before the opening bell that you saw was not on Monday as I know there’s quite a few of us who were hoping to finalize our positions for options early next week. If we open deep in the red, that will definitely affect the options pricing. Guess we’ll find out in a few hours … 🙂

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April 18, 2016 2:17 AM
James Bailey
Author
James Bailey

I did not see any dates, but I did see it dropping steeply after reaching the top so I am expecting to see that soon. Depending on how much it drops at the opening bell that might still be the best prices we see all week because I believe I saw it drop below 17,000. In a separate vision, I saw a graph showing it recovering maybe half of the drop, but there were no numbers in that vision.

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April 18, 2016 2:35 AM
Joe K
Member
Joe K

Hi James, I am probably way off here but I wonder if that drop with a partial retracement you saw was the bigger picture of the steep drop into May/June and then partial rally into July with a drop back down into the Fall.

Again, just a thought…

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April 18, 2016 11:52 AM
James Bailey
Author
James Bailey

I agree. Without seeing dates or numbers it is challenging to know where it applies. I kept thinking it was pre-crash, but this morning I saw a green 220, which I believe means we will be going up another 220 points from where we closed Friday. It is already about half way there since we moved up 106 today.

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April 18, 2016 5:16 PM
Bob B.
Member
Bob B.

James,

Does this mean when you heard 2 higher closes and saw 1850 for being a high you weren’t hearing God?

Not throwing any stones but trying to understand.

Thanks.

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April 18, 2016 6:20 PM
James Bailey
Author
James Bailey

I feel very confident I received those things from God, but like I said, I believe He is bringing us together as a body rather than isolated parts.

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April 18, 2016 6:33 PM
Bob B.
Member
Bob B.

Well said.

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April 18, 2016 6:47 PM
michael c.
Member
michael c.

Hi Jemba,
Is there a way to ask you questions/thoughts not on the forum? It would help me.
Thank you!

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April 18, 2016 8:37 AM
Richard
Member
Richard

Well Jemba, you got your wish. It opened only slightly down.

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April 18, 2016 8:40 AM
Joe K
Member
Joe K

Hi folks, you all may already be familiar with this site, but if not, you may want to check out the world cycles institute. I can’t speak for the credibility of the information, but the author seems to know what he is talking about. I first heard of this site when it’s founder, Peter Temple, was interviewed by Rick Wiles on TruNews. The market analysis is heavy in Elliot Wave theory and is absolutely fascinating to me even though I am admittedly still new to technical analysis. Peter Temple puts out a free weekly market analysis every Sunday. His forecast seems to be right in line with what we are all anticipating. Interestingly enough, he titled today’s weekly forecast, “The Second Coming.” Here’s the website – would value any feedback on the information there: http://worldcyclesinstitute.com/the-second-coming/. Be encouraged my brothers and sisters in Christ, I so appreciate your encouragement as I am holding on believing we are finally beginning a turn down.

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April 17, 2016 7:48 PM
Bob
Member
Bob

Right on, Brother. I also heard him on Rick Wiles. Very interesting analysis!!!
Thank you Joe.

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April 17, 2016 9:49 PM
Ivan
Member
Ivan

Thanks For the useful info Joe K

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April 18, 2016 7:58 AM
Eldon Johnson
Member
Eldon Johnson

I believe it was 2011 Sadu Sundar Selvarage was praying on Mt Sinai when an angel appeared to him and said that Israel’s best friend would become a Brutus. He then saw a large map of the U.S. The angel then said if this
friend betrays Israel then this would happen; and he thrust a large sword into the heartland of America. There was
a large quake and the nation was divided. Just sayin’.

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April 17, 2016 6:38 PM

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  • william on “I saw people who had invested in crypto currencies were multi-millionaires.”Marcio, I forgot to mention two more things which are very important to etn. On February 17, Christopher had a post concerning etn. " This morning I had a dream where I saw ETN moving from 1 cent to 0…
  • Rowena O on 12 reasons why I believe the COVID vaccine is NOT the mark of the beast.Yes, Jerry. That is a good example. But I was also thinking of things that may have come to pass years ago, or over time. The enemy wants to sit in the temple and be proclaimed as god. As well as bein…
  • Rowena O on “The vision is bigger than you realize.”Could have been Soho, London. I agree about being hated more openly here in England. The Lord showed me this in Luke 6v22,23. It will also tie in with the greater constraints on those who won't v., by…
  • Anne Chivers on “The vision is bigger than you realize.”loriq -As I read your comment I think of that verse gross Darkness covers the earth & the people there of. The casinos gambling etc. remind me of people gambling with their lives-lost in the darkn…
  • Marcio on “I saw people who had invested in crypto currencies were multi-millionaires.”Thank you, william, for those ETN prophetic prices. This is very helpful.
  • Marcio on “The vision is bigger than you realize.”E350 Heaven Land Devotions - The Holy Spirit SEES Through YOUR Eyes By Joanie Stahl https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KEOTSTXQ1ic
  • Marcio on “The vision is bigger than you realize.”It's so amazing how over and over, Lana's revelation fits so well with what is going on in my life at that time. God bless you, Lana.
  • william on “I saw people who had invested in crypto currencies were multi-millionaires.”Marcio, Thank you. You are right. I need to make effort to digest all these prophetic information. Recently I come to aware my physical health has some problem start to affect my daily life. I need to…
  • Linda Gallo on Total flu deaths suspiciously dropped to zero for the 2020-2021 flu season.And miraculously no one is dying of strokes, cancer, heart disease etc... only covid. What a bunch of baloney.
  • Firm Believer on 12 reasons why I believe the COVID vaccine is NOT the mark of the beast.The Covid Microneedle Array Smart Patch is being developed in England now & should be ready in 3 years. The tips of the needles stay permanently under your skin & glow with a bioluminescent ca…
  • CindyR on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationCould be...church leadership want everybody vaxxed in the church so everyone can meet again and build up their coffers again. :(
  • Prophetic Nurse on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationI forgot to add that this particular "Mega Church" also preaches that the saints will "Be raptured and escape what is coming." More false teaching and preaching. So many are lost and continue to follo…
  • Prophetic Nurse on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationI told my sister the same thing. Kickbacks and deals with the devil..For real!
  • loriq on “The vision is bigger than you realize.”I had a vision several days ago in the early hours of the morning. Just want to say I live in the USA, the Denver Metro area in Colorado. This dream was/about London, UK. It was present day and I was…
  • Jerry Paulson on 12 reasons why I believe the COVID vaccine is NOT the mark of the beast.This could certainly be true. I was thinking about that the other day, that some of the things we have been taught all our lives may not actually turn out exactly the way we have been. I believe this…
  • Angie van Greuning on Total flu deaths suspiciously dropped to zero for the 2020-2021 flu season.James we have it here in Sout Africa too. Suddenly you don't hear of any other death results and stats. We sure are being lied too. I have no doubt.
  • Angie van Greuning on “A SYMPHONY OF SILENCE…” CONDUCTED BY THE LOVER OF OUR SOULS…””Shew Thomas thats a great way to be explaining it. Yes to "linger longer" In His presence. God bless you for your response really appreciate your words. God bless you Thomas!
  • Arizona on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationFEDERAL LAW,passed in the 90's,YOU TAKE THE VACCINE..YOUR NOW THE PERSONAL PROPERTY OF THE PATENT OWNERS,and they have all legal right to round you up and take you to their SLAVE LABOR CAMP ,and work…
  • Angie van Greuning on “A SYMPHONY OF SILENCE…” CONDUCTED BY THE LOVER OF OUR SOULS…””Thanks for your feedback James. And I so agree with you. So many are experiencing hectic things. And if we don't allow that peace to flow from within us from the Prince of Peace, we will surely crash.…
  • Rowena O on 12 reasons why I believe the COVID vaccine is NOT the mark of the beast.I agree, Jerry Paulson. I'm not planning on putting the Lord my God to the test. The point about several things must happen before the MOTB rollout I hear, but I have one caution on that. Recently I f…
  • Thomas NoDoubt on “A SYMPHONY OF SILENCE…” CONDUCTED BY THE LOVER OF OUR SOULS…””Amein James, this peace and this ‘place’ with Him is so far beyond words to describe much less explain what it’s like to be in His special Presence , it makes me understand a little more what Joshua m…
  • James Bailey on “A SYMPHONY OF SILENCE…” CONDUCTED BY THE LOVER OF OUR SOULS…””I love this message Angie because I've also discovered the place you described where we can be filled with such amazing peace and all of our cares are removed so far away that we no longer think about…
  • Prophetic Nurse on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationSame here Deborah. The ones going to get the doses are the same ones yelling, "God is good!" But you choose to remain blinded and dumbfounded. This is very sickening.
  • Phil - Sydney on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationIncredibly Sad.
  • Deborah on Total flu deaths suspiciously dropped to zero for the 2020-2021 flu season.I had this exact exchange with a nurse last weekend. Me: "Why has flu gone down to no cases, after decades of hospitals being overrun with flu?" Nurse: "Because people are masking and social distancin…
  • Deborah on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationI've been anxiously waiting for my church to warn against the vaccines but there has been no warning. Every day some new person excitedly tells me they got their first dose. They seem entirely unaware…
  • Waully on Saliva COVID testing is far safer and at least as effective as nasal swab testing.Here's the link: https://beforeitsnews.com/alternative/2021/02/this-is-the-video-to-watch-infecting-wcovid-swab-the-rna-vaccine-artificial-intelligence-3741455.html Interestingly, it is no longer at t…
  • Expat Gal on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationWow so disturbing on so many levels. Echo James’ comment - okay to gather if you will be vaccinated to debilitate &/or kill you....smh....😢 Echo Joan’s thought - only available to church members?…
  • Pat on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationIf I were the devil, the church would be the first place I would start. Eliminate the christians, and the rest of the battle is a walk in the park. Take out the.oppisition, and the masses will follow…
  • carrie on Dr Judy Mikovits: “COVID vaccine will kill 50 million Americans.”And boy are they making sure the UK public cannot find this information!
  • carrie on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationPeople have absolutely lost their minds! The church folk are so deluded, and they are supposed to be the wise ones with the Truth.We are so in the time of the Apostate church. He has overcome the worl…
  • Prophetic Nurse on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationIsn't that something Joan?? Absolutely crazy!
  • S. Peter on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationThe Necessity of Discernment by Pastor Raphael Grant: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8cASTvBJwtc Be Blessed! Bro. S. Peter
  • Rowena O on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationHad another sermon on the many different prophetic words being passed on, such that the pastor has to check them because he is responsible for the spiritual oversight of the congregation. The alternat…
  • Joan on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationAlso, quite peculiar is THE VACCINE IS ONLY AVAILABLE TO CHURCH MEMBERS????!!
  • Marcio on “I saw people who had invested in crypto currencies were multi-millionaires.”william, as of the beginning of this alt season, I have not been recording prophetic prices, that were from the post, "Today is the day, it's payday." from January 14, 2021, and onward. I would advise…
  • James Bailey on Prophetic price chart shows a steep drop in crypto currency.Thanks for the confirmation William. Timing for the top in cryptos seems likely to be soon, since they often move together with equities but not always and even when they do it can be off by a few day…
  • James Bailey on Total flu deaths suspiciously dropped to zero for the 2020-2021 flu season.Great point Bill F.
  • James Bailey on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationWow, this is an amazing report Prophetic Nurse. So gathering together in the church is fine as long as we're getting vaccinated, only dangerous if we're worshipping God.
  • James Bailey on Total flu deaths suspiciously dropped to zero for the 2020-2021 flu season.The death totals reported in this post are from the World Health Organization, but the CDC death totals for influenza are 15 times larger as shown in this post. Jun 27, 2012 (CIDRAP News) – Working wi…
  • Bill F on Total flu deaths suspiciously dropped to zero for the 2020-2021 flu season.Yes, one of the arguments I've used with friends and family to prove "the Lie" and their immediate response is "Of course the flu deaths are way down because of the lockdowns, no flu is being spread a…
  • Thomas on Reddcoin ready to move up soonPhan, if your out there I bought PPT on the dip, Lolz. It bottomed and only has one place to go! Let’s see if the team is working hard.
  • Marcus on Praise & Worship with VaxxinationPastor probably getting an emolument from a big Pharma
  • william on Prophetic price chart shows a steep drop in crypto currency.James, There is a person named " Maria ", she may not be the same person of Maria Conwell. This Maria also saw 65000. So we don't know the real top of btc . Let's see what's price of btc on this comin…
  • william on Prophetic price chart shows a steep drop in crypto currency.James, Rdd has touched 7 one hour ago. Also I read somewhere that Maria Conwell saw btc 70,000 not 60,000.
  • James Bailey on Dr Judy Mikovits: “COVID vaccine will kill 50 million Americans.”Thanks. This story keeps unfolding and getting darker each day.
  • william on “I Will Not Relent of the Destruction that is Coming upon America”Today I have watched a self-media youtube video. The author says that the top leader of CCP in China has declared on China's " congress " national meeting that China will complete its building an unde…
  • william on Prophetic dream shows Electroneum going up to $62.25.Today I have watched a self-media youtube video. The author says the authority in the province of inner Mongolia China will shut down all the btc mining facilities before the end of next month April.…
  • william on “I saw people who had invested in crypto currencies were multi-millionaires.”Marcio, Can you sum up all the record of prophetic prices for etn and share with us? Also, assume etn price goes up first, then drops to $0.0044, what price it can goes up to in your opinion?
  • Steve on Saliva COVID testing is far safer and at least as effective as nasal swab testing.Aru, I’m not that well versed in forwarding links, etc. I just checked and this video is still up at beforeitsnews.com. I just copied and pasted the heading here. THIS IS THE VIDEO TO WATCH: INFECTING…

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