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You are here: Home » News » Financial News » We Are About To Experience An Absolutely Epic Housing Crash The Likes Of Which America Has Never Seen Before

We Are About To Experience An Absolutely Epic Housing Crash The Likes Of Which America Has Never Seen Before

July 18, 2022 9:27 PM By Michael Snyder 3 Comments

Originally published by theeconomiccollapseblog.com.


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You may not want to buy a house right now.  What goes up must eventually come down, and we have just entered the “down” side of that equation.  Over the past two years, home prices in the United States have gone up nearly 40 percent.  Now mortgage rates are rising at a pace that is truly frightening, and they are likely to go even higher in the months ahead as the Federal Reserve continues to fight a relentless war against inflation.  Needless to say, higher mortgage rates mean higher potential mortgage payments for prospective home buyers, and so millions of Americans are being priced out of the marketplace right now.  The only thing that is going to bring those buyers back into the marketplace is for home prices to go down, and that is already starting to happen in some areas of the nation.

We were already in a historic housing bubble heading into 2020, and over the past two years we have witnessed another housing bubble develop on top of the previous housing bubble.

Overall, home prices in the U.S. rose 37 percent between March 2020 and March 2022.

That is insane.

Of course our incomes have not been going up as fast as home prices have.  In fact, it is being reported that “home prices have gone up four times faster than incomes” over the past year…

Economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas put the real estate industry on edge this spring after they published a paper titled Real-Time Market Monitoring Finds Signs of Brewing U.S. Housing Bubble. Why the renewed concern? Over the past year alone, home prices have gone up four times faster than incomes. Simple economic theory, which dictates that neither home prices nor incomes can outgrow the other for very long, tells us that isn’t sustainable.

There is no way that this could continue for long, and we have reached a point where home prices in the United States are “overvalued” by almost 25 percent…

The analysis conducted by Moody’s Analytics aimed to find out whether economic fundamentals, including local income levels, could support local home prices. On a national level, Moody’s Analytics finds U.S. home prices are “overvalued” by 24.7%. In other words, U.S. home prices are 24.7% higher than they would historically trade at given current income levels.

Does this mean that home prices will come down by 25 percent?

Well, it all depends on what the Federal Reserve chooses to do.

If the Fed decides to stop raising interest rates by the end of this year, the damage could potentially be minimized.

But if the Fed continues to raise interest rates throughout 2023, we are likely to see carnage that is unlike anything we have ever seen before.

Personally, I have been stunned by how rapidly mortgage rates have risen.  According to Peter Schiff, the last time that average 30 year mortgage rates crossed the 6 percent threshold was just before the last housing crash…

Average 30-year mortgage rates have pushed to nearly 6.4%. The last time we saw mortgage rates over 6% was right before the housing crash of 2008. Until mid-April, mortgage rates were in the 4% to 5% range. Just one month ago, rates were 5.49%.

Lower-income homebuyers have already been priced out of the market by spiking mortgage rates. The houses that are selling tend to be in higher price ranges.

Officials at the Federal Reserve can see what is happening, but they consider taming inflation to be a much higher priority right now.

So the housing bubble will inevitably continue to implode, and the numbers for the industry will just get even uglier.  Here is more from Peter Schiff…

Air is hissing out of the housing bubble faster and faster every week.

Pending sales plunged in June and the inventory of homes on the market jumped as mortgage rates continue to rapidly rise.

Pending home sales plunged by 16% year-over-year in June. This follows on the heels of a 12% drop in May and a 9% dip in April. June marked the 10th straight month of year-on-year declines in pending sales.

Some of the hottest markets in the country have started to cool off really fast.

For example, just look at what is happening in California…

The pace of California home sales plunged 21% in June from a year earlier as soaring mortgage rates took a bite out of buyer interest, the state Realtors group reported Monday.

And what we are witnessing in Boise is really alarming.

Boise was once one of the hottest markets in the entire nation, but now sales are dropping faster than Joe Biden’s approval rating…

Before governors relaxed stay-at-home orders two years ago, white-collar professionals were already fleeing their exorbitantly priced apartments in cities like San Francisco and Seattle. The biggest beneficiary of that WFH homebuying wave was undoubtedly Boise—where home prices skyrocketed 53%. You could even call it the poster child of the pandemic housing boom.

But that Boise honeymoon is over. While spiking mortgage rates have pushed the overall U.S. housing market into a slowdown, it has delivered a particularly hard blow to the Boise housing market. That has seen both Boise home sales plummet—down 28% on a year-over-year basis—and inventory levels surge—up 161% this year. It’s also chipping away at home values. According to Zillow, the median Boise home sales price fell 3.5% in June.

This downturn is going to have enormous implications for home builders as well.

Sales are falling, and a key measure of home builder confidence just declined for the seventh month in a row…

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, which measures the pulse of the single-family housing market, fell for the seventh consecutive month to 55, the lowest level since May 2020. It is the second-biggest, one-month decline in the survey’s 37-year history.

The only time that the index has fallen more in a single month was during the very early stages of the COVID pandemic.

National Association of Home Builders CEO Jerry Howard fears that things will continue to get worse in the months ahead, and he is warning that “we’re going to go into a recession” unless something dramatic happens…

“For the last seven straight months it has been going down and this is a huge drop – and I think all it says is, ‘Somebody do something or we’re going to go into a recession,’” Howard said.

I am sorry to tell you this Jerry, but we are already in a recession right now, and it is going to get really bad.

Our leaders have been making decisions that have been mind-numbingly bad for a long time, and now we are all going to suffer the consequences.

If you are searching for an easy way out of this mess, you can stop looking, because there isn’t one.

What we are heading for is going to make 2008 and 2009 look like a Sunday picnic, and it will shake our nation to the core.


***It is finally here! Michael’s new book entitled “7 Year Apocalypse” is now available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.***

Originally published by theeconomiccollapseblog.com.

Author: Michael Snyder

Michael Snyder is a former Washington D.C. attorney who now publishes The Economic Collapse Blog and End of the American Dream. Michael and his wife Meranda believe that God is raising up a Remnant in these last days (Revelation 12:17; Revelation 14:12) that will bring in the greatest move of God the world has ever seen and the greatest harvest of souls the world has ever seen.

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deborah2221
deborah2221
15 days ago

For Sale housing is being bought up by huge investment banks. They will hold it and keep prices rising.

The commenter who said buy a rural home and land is on target. Do what you can to get out of cities and prepare to take care of your family and loved ones without an infrastructure, because it is rapidly collapsing.

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Geo Washington
Geo Washington
25 days ago

It could be a bad idea to buy a house at this time if it includes alot of debt. Please follow the Lords direction in prayer. If money becomes worthless the only assets worth having are tangible ones. Having a house with .50 acres is almost useless. Having a small home in a rural area is not a bad idea as long as you’ve prayed it through. We must be humble before the Lord when we make major decisions and inquire of Him. Pray then have faith He will answer. He gives impressions and guidance if we wait on Him patiently. Repent brothers and sisters, repent daily and get humble before Him.

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morete
morete
26 days ago

The only thing that is going to crash is the value of the dollar. The price of housing will always be perpetually increasing, just like the price of other basics that have been increasing for decades.

There are too many people that need housing and there will never be enough of it. As our nation’s population continues to drastically increase on a daily basis, scarcity of product and an overwhelming demand will insure that prices stay inflated.

Mortgage interest rates could be at 1,000% and it would have little to no effect on housing. There’s a lot of cash out there in the world, and there’s a lot of it here at home. Investors, private equity groups and the common house flippers from literally all corners of the Earth would swoop in and pay cash in full for any house they could get their hands on. Investors would either just sit on them until they see fit, or rent them all out and pack in as many families as they could get in their properties to pay for their exorbitant rent. If for some odd reason that doesn’t pan out, investors would just tear down entire subdivisions and build stack-and-pack commune apartments on that land which is what the left really wants for our nation. Everything is going according to their plan.

What’s happening with our economy reminds me of an old saying that still holds true today: “There are only two things that will survive a nuclear war — cockroaches and inflated house prices.”

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  • Cesar G on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadHi James, TA wise the equities markets (stocks) are at critical levels of resistance and looking topped out. What are your current thoughts on this, seeing markets rally so fast and to these highs. Do…
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  • Athoniel Ripon Sarker on Josephs Are Being Prepared For Their SuddenlyBlessed and encouraged by the word. God bless you sister.
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  • Bill F on Encouragement for the Bitcoin flash crashThanks SW! Very encouraging indeed! Needed this nudge. Blessings to you.
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  • Silent Warrior on Prophetic dream and vision show Shiba Inu Token reaching all time highsOf course. God bless you and your family too.
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  • Cesar G on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadHi James, have you received new intel and puzzle pieces for the SPX movement? It’s current day range high is at 4245 and there’s still around 4 hours and 30 minutes left before markets close. TA sugge…
  • James Bailey on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadToday's top at 4211 raises the bottom for the 150-point drop to about 4061. My current thinking is this drop starts very soon and takes about 3 trading days to complete.
  • James Bailey on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadThe move up from 3910 to 4211 today was 301 points so dropping 150 is a 50% retrace. In a dream a few days ago, I saw a big butcher knife fall straight down from above and sliced a big piece of sausag…
  • Cesar G on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadHi James, I wanted to know if anything changed or if you received new puzzle pieces, since SPX has reached 4210 today and this is one of your targets to the upside. Markets looked like they have toppe…
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  • James Bailey on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadI'm glad you asked Cesar because my stuff is constantly a work in progress with lots of warning dreams when I'm not seeing things clearly which is often. I recently saw a 150 point drop which I think…
  • James Bailey on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadYes, I agree Cunny Fred. I think that's when Frank's drop happens. I also agree larger drops will follow afterwards. The lowest SPX number I've seen recently is 1922 but I'm expecting it to eventually…
  • christian on I see a spirit of SUSPICION masquerading as a spirit of discernment – and it’s killing us.thanks !! AMEN
  • Cesar G on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadHi James, But you are expecting the SPX to drop to around 3990 this week before another leg up to your higher targets 4200s and 4300s? Right now the SPX is around 4110-4115 with 1 hour and 30 minutes…
  • Joe on “I will complete My promise to My Chosen…”Watch the waters As the waters will fall In July...... For a third straight week flash flooding is a concern in the same areas of the US (msn.com) Is it time?
  • Paul on Large Danish ministry forced to shut down after slanderous attacks from Danish government and news media.You forgot to mention that one of the undercover reporters, mentally ill one when he asked Tørben if he should continue with hes medication, Tørben said NO.
  • Cunny Fred on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadJames, isn't it possible that the -182 point drop that Frank saw might be part of the journey to 3658? One large daily drop might be followed by other drops. It is also possible that the drop that you…
  • James Bailey on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadThanks for sharing those dreams Frank. The bullish pattern for SPX that you felt bummed that it was broken sounds like what I'm expecting for the next month or so with a downturn starting in mid Septe…
  • LovetheLord on America’s Plan for A New World System (words inspired by God)It's okay to laugh, I believe. That part lifted my spirits. We need some few seconds relief from the stress!
  • faith on I remember thinking “Why did I do this? Now I’m going to die.”I have a different take on this dream and in my opinion it's about the crypto market. One needs to ask themselves the significance of her being a red head and going upstairs. What would that scene hav…
  • lisa on America’s Plan for A New World System (words inspired by God)God bless you Caroline and thank you for this word. This confirms what my spirit has been showing me. The christians that believe this can be overturned are going to be very surprised. We are in the e…
  • Carla on A Season of Divine DistinctionThis was on point, thanks for sharing. Passing this on !! 🙏
  • PaulAu on I remember thinking “Why did I do this? Now I’m going to die.”MITIGATION PROTOCOL - FYI. Last year, I had a very interesting visit with a doctor who was recommended by the Covid Medical Network, Australia. Her take on vaccines: She said that they all had side ef…
  • Frank on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadJames, at risk of this getting buried among so many replies here, I did want to share a very clear dream I had a few days ago on the SP500. In my dream I was watching the evening news and saw the dail…
  • James Bailey on Prophetic chart could be showing macro view of crypto winter aheadI had been thinking it was coming soon but received warnings that it's further out on the timeline. I also received an update that the bottom is closer to 3658, not 3690. My current target date is Sep…
  • Nobody on Prophetic dream reveals coming crash in crypto currency pricesWell, can't say for sure, but need to bring it to your attention that, there is a chance your dream may be about to unfold in a month or 2 in this mid-late summer 2022 ..... your dream did mention an…
  • Katie on Liars, Propagandists and The Great ResetThe evil woman spreading the psudeo psychology to these saps are the real villains
  • N.Newton on Prophetic dream shows Bitcoin stuck in heavy trafficIt could be next summer but I feel something weird going to happen soon. There must be a reason why CCP banned BTC. If this hack occurred, it could be catastrophic. 😎God bless
  • Phil - Sydney on I remember thinking “Why did I do this? Now I’m going to die.”Thanks James I took the jab because I had major expenses and ongoing mortgage payments. Transport NSW would not let me work without the jab. Thanks the Lord that I have been kept well. This policy is…

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