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You are here: Home » Trading » Forex » Jim Rickards warns of 20% Chinese Yuan devaluation

Jim Rickards warns of 20% Chinese Yuan devaluation

November 16, 2017 10:50 PM By James Bailey 15 Comments

In July 2014, I saw a sequence of events in a dream, which I interpreted to mean the U.S. dollar would gain value relative to other currencies, causing hardships for many nations (since International trade is conducted in dollars). Then the dollar was suddenly devalued, causing China to become so angry they threatened to declare war.

The first part of the dream came to pass in 2015 as the dollar index soared from 84 at the time of my dream to over 100 by March 2015. It later peaked above 103 in January 2017 before retracing back to the current level at about 94. (Source: marketwatch.com)

Just as I saw in the dream, the strong dollar has caused problems for other nations, especially for China because their currency was pegged to the dollar at a fixed exchange rate, so as the dollar rose in 2015, so did the Chinese yuan, which was harmful to their export driven economy, making their products less competitive in the global market. So in August 2015, they took action, devaluing the yuan, which caused our stock market to drop 11%. Then over the next six months, they devalued it again, resulting in another 11% drop in our stock market in January 2016.

Currency expert Jim Rickards is now warning China could soon devalue the yuan again, which would likely cause our equity markets to drop sharply again. However, the damage could be far more severe this time because he is forecasting USD/CNY would be reset to 7.95, compared to the current price 6.63, which would be a 20% devaluation, much larger than the 3% devaluation in August 2015 when the USD/CNY price moved from 6.20 to 6.40, and much larger than China’s second devaluation by early 2016, which was also about 3% as the price moved from 6.40 to 6.60 (Source: jimrickards.blogspot.com). So, if 3% devaluations resulted in back to back 11% drops in our equity markets, a sudden 20% devaluation could be far more devastating.

Jim Rickards summarized China’s dilemna as follows:

China escaped the impossible trinity in 2015 by devaluing their currency. China escaped the impossible trinity again in 2017 using a hat trick of partially closing the capital account, raising interest rates, and allowing the yuan to appreciate against the dollar thereby breaking the exchange rate peg.

The problem for China is that these solutions are all non-sustainable. China cannot keep the capital account closed without damaging badly needed capital inflows. Who will invest in China if you can’t get your money out?

China also cannot maintain high interest rates because the interest costs will bankrupt insolvent state owned enterprises and lead to an increase in unemployment, which is socially destabilizing.

China cannot maintain a strong yuan because that damages exports, hurts export-related jobs, and causes deflation to be imported through lower import prices. An artificially inflated currency also drains the foreign exchange reserves needed to maintain the peg.

Since the impossible trinity really is impossible in the long-run, and since China’s current solutions are non-sustainable, what can China do to solve its policy trilemma?

The most obvious course, and the one likely to be implemented, is a maxi-devaluation of the yuan to around the 7.95 level or lower.

This would stop capital outflows because those outflows are driven by devaluation fears. Once the devaluation happens, there is no longer any urgency about getting money out of China. In fact, new money should start to flow in to take advantage of much lower local currency prices.

There are early signs that this policy of devaluation is already being put into place. The yuan has dropped sharply in the past month from 6.45 to 6.62. This resembles the stealth devaluation of late 2015, but is somewhat more aggressive.

The geopolitical situation is also ripe for a Chinese devaluation policy. Once the National Party Congress is over in late October, President Xi will have secured his political ambitions and will no longer find it necessary to avoid rocking the boat. (Source: jimrickards.blogspot.com)

Although I did not see any Chinese yuan devaluations in my dream, it would fit the first scene where the dollar was standing strong versus other currencies because a devalued yuan would increase the dollar’s value.

Devaluing the yuan would be a temporary boom for China’s economy as their export prices would become more competitive overnight. It would also attract foreign investors to China since there would be no more fears of a yuan devaluation, but it would be harmful to the U.S., not only damaging our equity markets, but also increasing the cost of our $1.1 trillion debt to China by forcing us to repay them with more valuable dollars (Source: investopedia.com) So if it happens, it would put pressure on the shadow figures controlling the U.S. dollar to retaliate, setting the stage for the next scene in my dream when the dollar was suddenly devalued, which was shown in my dream as a table getting turned over, knocking the U.S. representatives (U.S. dollar) down and pinning them to the floor. That might explain why I saw China’s representatives get very angry. They all stood up and walked out of the assembly hall, threatening to declare war against the United States. They did not actually declare war;  they just made threats saying, “We will declare war!”

Prophetic insights have revealed a big drop in equity markets coming soon, causing SPX to drop back down to about where it was prior to the November 2016 election. However, the cause for the drop is believed to be related to an actual military conflict, not just the threat of war and not a currency war, so I think these are two separate events. If there is another devaluation of the Chinese yuan coming, I think it would be later, possibly sometime next year, not this year.

There are still many unknowns regarding the timing and sequence of events, but when prophetic warnings align with technical warnings, it’s time for investors to beware. It looks like the stage is now being set for some wild swings in currency values in 2018, which would likely cause big losses for equities as investors seek safety in less risky assets, such as precious metals. The magnitude of the coming devaluations is far bigger than what we’ve seen in the past, putting markets in uncharted waters and putting the global economy on track for the rebirth of the phoenix in 2018, a new global currency, as predicted on the front cover of the 1988 Economist magazine.

This is not a recommendation for investing.

James Bailey

Author: James Bailey

James Bailey is a blogger, business owner, husband and father of two grown children. In 1982, he surrendered his life to the Lord Jesus Christ. In 2012, he founded Z3news.com to broadcast the message of salvation by reporting end time news before it happens.

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Jesse WanskasmithMatt NZRichardMOSESJames Bailey Recent comment authors
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MOSES
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MOSES

Not too long ago Rickards mangled the scripture verse: “The love of money is the root of all kinds of evil” and said Christians say that money is the root of all evil. i sent him an email asking him to correct his mistake in a follow up email and I do not believe he ever did correct his mistake. I believe Rickards is also going to be wrong about the Yuan devaluation and you will instead see more of a parity of the dollar and the Yuan. Do not trust in Jim Rickards. MOSES

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November 18, 2017 10:04 PM
Richard
Member
Richard

I also agree that Rickards is of little value in the financial world.

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November 18, 2017 10:52 PM
MOSES
Member
MOSES

http://www.globalfinancialprotection.bz/donald-trump-and-the-gcr.html
On the URL above and just above the colorful globe with the flags of the nations on it is an orange URL link to a video where Trump is talking about the currencies being on a level playing field with each other ( I believe it is 1:1 parity as confirmed by other pages you will find on the website above) and this level playing field strategy of currency values came out of a conversation he had with the president of China. Enjoy, MOSES

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November 20, 2017 3:13 PM
Joe
Member
Joe

I think US is playing a double game in oil markets. On one hand there is a revolution in shale oil. But in order not to loose influence in middle east and the base of petro dollar, it is buying oil from there and exporting to nations like India.
http://gulfnews.com/business/sectors/energy/india-to-import-more-oil-from-us-as-energy-ties-grow-1.2100084
At the same time US wants to eliminate oil production competition from countries like Russia,Iran, Venezuela etc,hence the sanctions.
Coming oil exchange in China is a joint response by Russia,China, and Iran to stop this US double game.
From a uni polar or US centric world we are moving to multi polar world where US is facing checkmates in this great geo political chess game.

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November 17, 2017 9:54 PM
d ames
Member
d ames

this fits with what John Paul Jackson was shown. A new world currency and a new us currency. Shane warren was shown that when the new world currency comes that the government has to pay its bills and it cuts domestic programs. The prices in the grocery stores are rising. Hyperinflation is coming. Get out of debt now. Brett Creamer was shown that when martial law comes that people will not be able to pay their mortgages. That the government forecloses on those individuals and evicts them then moves illegals into their homes. We do not know when but we do know it is coming. Prepare now accordingly.

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November 17, 2017 11:40 AM
William
Member
William

Concerning the oversea trip D.T. just finished,Jim Rickards’ opinion is that Trump is preparing for the war. Trump went to Japan, South Korea and had a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Nov 8. The following is Jim Rickards’ own words: Much of the reporting on this trip has involved international trade, but it’s a mistake to focus on that.This trip was a pre-war gathering of allies (Japan and South Korea) and potential allies (China) in a last-ditch struggle to head off a hot war with North Korea, led by the reckless Kim Jong Un. At this point, there are only four possible outcomes of the US-North Korea confrontation over nuclear weapons: 1. Kim Jung Un stands down and gives up his nuclear weapons program. 2. The US and China combine forces to decapitate the Kim dynasty and force regime change in North Korea. 3. Preventive attack on North Korea by the US before 20 March 2018. 4. The US accepts a nuclear-armed North Korea and relies on containment and deterrence to constrain its actions. , I estimate the degree distribution of those possible outcomes as follows: • Kim stands down: 10% • Regime change: 20% • War: 70% • US lives with nuclear North Korea: 0%. Trump’s visits to Japan and South Korea were about leaving the door open to negotiations in the hope that Kim would stand down while also preparing for war. Trump’s visit to China was about asking for assistance in regime change. Xi is unlikely to agree to help the US in this regard. This means war. Instead, Trump and Xi no doubt discussed China’s ‘red lines’ in North Korea so that a war between the US and North Korea does not escalate into a war with China. Almost none of this is fully… Read more »

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November 17, 2017 12:23 AM
James Bailey
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James Bailey

Thanks for sharing that William. I think it’s fine to quote Jim Rickards.

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November 17, 2017 12:38 PM
William
Member
William

China is such a heavy weight country. China had war with Vietnam in 1979. At those time, China was not rich at all. And Vietnam was dragged for 10 years in the war . Vietnam’s economy in those 10 years did not make progress at all, while China’s economy in those 10 years was hardly been affected. In the current world, only US or Russia has the capacity to have war with China. Whoever dare to have war with China nowadays, he must be out of his mind.

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November 17, 2017 2:30 PM
Matt NZ
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Matt NZ

Watching Germany!

“Worst Case Scenario” Looms As Merkel’s “Jamaica Coalition” Collapses; EUR Sinks

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-19/%E2%80%9Cworst-case-scenario%E2%80%9D-looms-merkel%E2%80%99s-%E2%80%9Cjamaica-coalition%E2%80%9D-collapses

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November 19, 2017 8:17 PM
Ed H
Member
Ed H

Before the dollar devalues we need to move into assets that will go up and not down . Anyone have some suggestions?

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November 18, 2017 9:22 AM
John Smith
Member
John Smith

Ed H: Its a tough question. I was thinking some rental property (3/2 and 2/2 residential houses), farm land, physical silver/gold, and I was even thinking physical copper. Old silver items and coins would be good too. Of course on land, one should probably have cash in a safe place and wait until a period after the stock market bust to get rental property for 50 cents on the dollar, assuming the dollar doesn’t die first or at the same time.

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November 18, 2017 1:27 PM
Ed H
Member
Ed H

John,
Thanks. Been praying about this very decision for a while. Still no real direction so far.

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November 18, 2017 7:51 PM
James Bailey
Author
James Bailey

In the same dream where I was warned about the coming devaluation of the dollar, I was told to buy FAZ because it will skyrocket because the devaluation will cause a major shaking of our financial institutions.

I believe the dollar will later die because in 2011 God told me to buy the dollar against the Swiss franc until the franc crashes, then buy silver as much as possible and gold if silver is not available because soon after the franc crashes the dollar will also crash.

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November 18, 2017 2:02 PM
Ed H
Member
Ed H

Thanks James. I have had a few silver dreams and only 2 with numbers. The first was at $21. The second dream was much much higher at about $747.
Timing is def an issue because the $21 has not even happened yet.
I also hold to the FAZ dream and it will become a reality at some point when the financial sector tanks.

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November 18, 2017 7:46 PM
Jesse Wanskasmith
Member
Jesse Wanskasmith

Interesting article. How does Hyper-inflation play into the need to devalue to the Yuan to Dollar? After this correction, a strong dollar seems likely to continue (to our own detriment) increasing interest rates… and Dow 40,000 have been proposed, as well as BTC/USD 40,000.

I agree this scenario is likely a year out from now.

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December 3, 2017 11:03 PM

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  • MattNZ on Antichrist Arrival, Defiled Temple – Accepting mRNA vaccineGot this from a coworker on night shift at the Port where I work, she must have been talking to NZ customs: Hope your phone is on silent but had to send you this piece of info. Customs have had their…
  • Marcus on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.The 2 things that interest me in what we've been shown Christine are: 1) the phenomenal change in value of silver overnight. One day 5 pieces of silver buy 0.013888 ephah of dove's dung, the next day…
  • Anne Chivers on The announcementLinks again-that did not come thru. 1) https://www.israel365news.com/187530/pope-holds-sons-of-abraham-prayer-event-at-ancient-iraqi-site-of-child-sacrifice-with-no-jewish-representation/ 2)https://ww…
  • Anne Chivers on The announcementFound these 2 links re The Popes visit to Middle East- Ancient Iraqi site. March 5th 2021. 1)https://www.israel365news.com/187530/pope-holds-sons-of-abraham-prayer-event-at-ancient-iraqi-site-of-child…
  • N.Newton on Luciferase Chain Reaction to ID2020 – How the “Vaccine” Will Connect Your Body With Cryptocurrency & the Cloud & Prophetic Word About LuciferaseI realized this pandemic and crytos are all connected after reading your article. I am also shocked XRP will lead this revolution. Thanks Expal for your wisdom. We are about to reveal this mysterious…
  • Maria Conwell on The announcementThank you James and thanks for all your help and support and to all of Gods people! You are a true blessing to the remnant! 🙏
  • Maria Conwell on “Ancient prophetic and apostolic mantles will come upon many people in this generation as the time of the end draws near.”Pastor James did you see the dream sequence the Lord had given me and I posted yesterday? Very similar themes also listed there, so this is a confirmation! Z3 news an announcement. Blessings and thank…
  • Marcus on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.But this story shows a violent transition from hyperinflation to deflation. There is also a 'panic' in there....as the Aramites panic. This is how banking crises are described. E.G. The Panic of 1907
  • william on I heard the Lord say, “I am bringing inner turmoil to rest.”Use the end-result ( image in your mind ) ( God have solved your problem ) to believe, to thank God.
  • william on I heard the Lord say, “I am bringing inner turmoil to rest.”Bill, Some years ago, I told myself no matter how bad the situation I fallen in, I will pray the Lord. There were a few times I ended in that kind of situation. A lot of bad feeling fallen on me. I cr…
  • Marcus on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.If people were to cycle out of BTC and into PSLV, the sky is the limit. With WallStreetBets on the warpath, this feels more imminent than simply a far-off pipe-dream. All we can do is watch. Given the…
  • Marcus on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Yes. That's right. Cheap as chips. It's an interesting story - I need to study it!!
  • Christine Beadsworth on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Marcus, the way I read 2 Kings 7:1 it is commenting on the price of wheat and barley going down, not up, because before in the famine in the previous chapter, everything was grossly expensive, then ov…
  • Christine Beadsworth on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.wow, William! bless you for your gift!!
  • Deborah on DeceivedWe are called to help the needy and less fortunate, but we are not called to become the target of their predatory behavior and abuse. When someone shows they see someone who has been compassionate to…
  • william on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Please check again.
  • Deborah on DeceivedHi Dana - it's not easy to discern in circumstances like these. As Christians, we're supposed to reach out to the poor and despised and the Bible even commands us to do so. But like you, I've found it…
  • Christine Beadsworth on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Thank you for your very generous gift!
  • deidrick on Prophetic Dream: Attacked by Obamaobama is coll and swag
  • R.T. on 60 Videos & 16 Documentaries (76 Total) With Doctors Explaining Why Vaccines Are Not Safe or EffectiveThere is another doctor in Germany Prof. Sucharit Bhakdi, he has produced many videos and articles on the Covid issue and the vaccine as well. I believe the way that he explains things are very easy t…
  • Phil - Sydney on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Bee - get silver in sizes you can exchange for food. That should be a first basis Phil
  • James Bailey on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.I believe you saw correctly Marcus but I don't think those prices are coming next. I'm expecting one more rally into the low $30-$34 range and then a big crash below $10.
  • James Bailey on I heard the Lord say, “I am bringing inner turmoil to rest.”God is faithful to keep ALL His promises and that's the truth regardless of whether or not anyone believes it. Our problems are all on our end, not His. God has already done all He ever needs to do fo…
  • Joan Adcox on “Ancient prophetic and apostolic mantles will come upon many people in this generation as the time of the end draws near.”Extremely powerful message, I read it twice. The scene of the chasm between the apostolic and apostate church is sad and sobering. And for those standing on the apostate side, it seems as if time is r…
  • Bill Johnson on I heard the Lord say, “I am bringing inner turmoil to rest.”Lana, I am one of those with "deep inner turmoil." I'm at the point where the first decision I have to make every morning is whether or not I go out in the yard and end it with a bullet. I am tired be…
  • Bee on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Do you guys recommend getting bullions or bars or something like that in hard silver?
  • Bee on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Why that particular one Wayne?
  • Anonymous on DeceivedI totally get that. I've wondered the same about my situation. I could understand it if I was guilty of wrongdoing, but instead I pursued the Lord more which ultimately led to greater division and eve…
  • Maria Conwell on The announcementChristine, thanks for your confirmation! I can’t wait to look over what the Lord has been sharing with you, faithful daughter of God!
  • Jennifer Beebe on The announcementI have had many dreams of Obama as the AC. In my dreams that is who was revealed and when I woke up I would get confirmations. Time will tell I guess and while I'm not focusing on that event my eyes a…
  • Arnie on Antichrist Arrival, Defiled Temple – Accepting mRNA vaccineplease do not be offended, but i believe that the video and the post seems like an over-spiritualization of God's Word and mis-interpretation of Christian doctrine. when we need clear thinking on the…
  • Marcio on “I’m Pulling Back the Veil on What You Thought Had Failed.”Susan, what a beautiful and uplifting message! Thank you for posting. God bless.
  • Marcus on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Similar Stephen. I had a brief vision. Silver was moving on a chart. I saw it at $47. It punched through $50. I held my breath. It hesitated for a moment and then boom! It just raced up. I knew it had…
  • James Bailey on The announcementAwesome dreams Maria. I'm adding these to my collection of antichrist dreams. Thanks for sharing.
  • Stephen on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Marcus, I never posted this but I had a dream about silver on 1/2/21. Here it is: I saw a stock line chart and it just kept climbing up and up. In my dream I knew it was the price of silver. Every onc…
  • LoriQ on DeceivedDana's story just resonates with me. She was helping another human being just as I was helping my sister and the ex. My sister neded a stable home so she could pursue a new career and the ex needed a…
  • Anonymous on DeceivedOh my gosh thank you for sharing this Lori. That is absolutely mind-blowing to say that least and I am so thankful the hand of God was on you for protection, I know He is with me also and it's only a…
  • LoriQ on The announcementObama may not be the anti-Christ, but he sure has the anti-Christ spirit in him. For some reason, I feel compelled to say that Obama will be a part of he anti-Christ cabal and power structure in some…
  • LoriQ on DeceivedAnonymous, I am sorry to hear of this turmoil in your life right now. Went through something similar 15 years ago with the ex and my very own sister. It was more than an affair between them, they were…
  • Marcus on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Anyhow I sent a small token of tokens
  • James Bailey on I met with the Lord and He told me to buy FAZ again.Thanks for the great info Anne. Sounds like you're all over it. I believe God showed me a 1929 type of market crash is coming and I think it begins very soon. My FAZ dream showed a sudden devaluation…
  • James Bailey on Has my body been infected with “theragrippers”?Rather than speculate about her personal life, I tried to stay focused on answering her question about the availability of testing for the presence of theragrippers in our body. She agreed to share he…
  • MarkF on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Also, I have been scheduled to meet with my principal onMarch 10. They probably want to determine my intent for next year. A contract may be offered to me that day or later on in the spring.
  • Expat Gal on Has my body been infected with “theragrippers”?Hi Christine - I echo James’ thought! 😊. Thank you! I meant to loop back & add that to my comment here. So glad you are using it. Bicarbonate of soda which is bicarbonato de Sodio in Spanish count…
  • Christine Beadsworth on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.I just copied and pasted it from the wallet today
  • Marcus on I saw Electroneum and Reddcoin moving up.Oh! I opened my bible just now and my thumb hit the 7 of 2 Kings 7.....Awesome. I am laser focused now. It is a story about a war between Israel and Syria no? It is interesting that the price of silve…

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Adriana Lynn
Anita Alexander
Angie Van Greuning
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Christopher Harris
Cyndi J. Dana
Debra Walker
Diana Pulliam
Diane Boneck
Dorothy Degman
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Elizabeth Marie
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Marty Breeden
Matt Smith
Melissa Ledbetter
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Michael Perritte
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Pastor Henry Falcone
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